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    Unlock Impact Calculator

    Estimate how an upcoming token unlock could affect sell pressure.

    Data basis
    Observed
    Formula
    Model
    1. 1Load or enter market
    2. 2Enter unlock
    3. 3Review impact

    An unlock does not automatically lower the price

    The price changes in this model only when unlocked tokens are sold into the pool.
    Start from an observed token (optional)

    Fills supply, price, liquidity, volume and pool fee from live market data. The unlock itself is yours to state — it is not something a token address can answer.

    1. Set the unlock scenario

    Supply before the unlock.

    New tokens that become tradeable.

    Your best estimate of how much is sold. Starts at 50%: a stated midpoint, not a forecast for this unlock.

    When the unlock happens.

    Market and pool assumptionsOptional values. The defaults work for most users.

    Price before the modeled sale.

    Total balanced pool value.

    Used for a volume comparison, not a recovery prediction.

    Fee applied to the modeled sale.

    Your unlock estimate will appear here

    Set the unlock amount and expected sell rate, then calculate the impact.

    Compare providers for this

    How this calculation works — the formula, its inputs, what it assumes, and what it does not establish.

    Calculator guide

    How to use this token unlock impact calculator

    Model token unlock supply, potential sell pressure and AMM execution without assuming that newly unlocked supply automatically lowers price. Price impact occurs only for the portion sold into available liquidity.

    Unlock supply versus selling

    An unlock makes tokens transferable or available under its schedule. It does not prove that recipients will sell, so sell percentage must remain an explicit scenario.

    Liquidity and volume context

    Marked unlock value should be compared with pool depth and reported volume. Volume equivalence is context, not a forecast of recovery or absorption.

    Interpreting market cap after an unlock

    Circulating market cap can increase when more supply becomes circulating at the same spot price. That accounting change is separate from trade-driven price movement.

    Understand the assumptions

    Unlock Impact FAQ

    Can the market absorb an unlock?

    Relate unlock supply to volume, liquidity depth and plausible sell-pressure scenarios. MoonMath labels the data basis for this tool as Observed, Formula, Model.

    Is the Unlock Impact a prediction or recommendation?

    No. The Unlock & Emission Impact is an educational scenario tool, not financial advice, a recommendation, or a forecast. Provider coverage, liquidity, routing, fees and market conditions can make real outcomes materially different.

    Does a token unlock automatically reduce price?

    No. An unlock changes available or circulating supply. Price changes only when market activity changes execution prices.