Unlock & Emission Impact
Separate supply unlocks from actual AMM sell pressure and test plausible dump scenarios.
Data basis
Formula
Model
An unlock is not a sale
Circulating supply increases at the unlock. Pool price only changes here when unlocked tokens are sold. The model assumes one balanced V2-style token/USD pool.
Unlock and market assumptions
Assumption
Tokens circulating before the unlock.
Assumption
Tokens becoming circulating.
Assumption
Timeline context; it does not alter AMM math.
Assumption
Scenario rate from 0% to 100%.
Assumption
Pre-trade pool spot price.
Assumption
Total balanced token + quote value.
Assumption
Applied to token input before swap pricing.
Assumption
Used only for a turnover comparison.
Modeled impact
Supply increase
+20.00%
120,000,000 circulating
Tokens sold
10,000,000
$5,000,000.00 at pre-trade spot
Estimated proceeds
$2,496,244.37
Average $0.25 per token
Post-trade pool price
$0.13
-74.96% pool spot change
Modeled market cap
$15,022,533.80
New circulating supply × post-trade pool price
Volume equivalent
5.0 days
Proceeds ÷ current reported 24h volume; not a recovery forecast